May 2008

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I’ve been in Montreal, the city of festivals, painters, baguettes, amateur philosophers, video games, graffiti and music .. much much music … for the past couple of weeks.

Last night I had the opportunity to see an aspect of the future (at least for a 54-year old guy) in operation.

The world-reknowned MUTEK electronic music festival is in full swing.  I attended Club Metropolis for MUTEK Nocturne 3 - Beats, Mashs and Remixes.

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For the occasion of the NOCTURNE 3 showcase, the Metropolis will host a massive two-room event to kick-start the weekend. In the main room, several of today’s best producers bring the spirit of fusion and sampling to the stage for an energetic showcase designed to celebrate the sampling potentials of electronic music.

Montreal turntablist Kid Koala brings his magical fingers and cartoonish imagination to the decks first, before ceding the stage to this city’s new generation of hip-hop manipulators, the hotly tipped synth crunk of Megasoid, featuring Sixtoo’s Robert Squire and Wolf Parade’s Hadji Bakara.

Modeselektor, the Berlin sensation that defies all categories except “incomparably energetic”, will take the Metropolis to new heights, as they appear alongside their longtime video-jockies Pfadfinderei for what ought to be a thrilling visual treat. Toronto’s breakcore specialist Knifehandchop brings the audience to a boil for night’s end.

In the Savoy Lounge, a handful of techno’s hottest underground names from this year will present an international smorgasbord of the genre’s bounties: San Francisco’s Dave Aju, Mexico’s Metrika, the international super-duo of Perlon’s Sammy Dee and Bruno Pronsato working as Half Hawaii, and Toronto tech-veteran Jeremy P. Caulfield.

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I’m not as avid a concert-goer and music listener as I was when I was younger, or at least I did not recognize what must be massive advances in speaker construction over the last 20 years.

There will be a lot of deaf 40 - 50 year-olds in another 20 years or so.  The sound was so loud I felt physically assaulted, the bass-driven sound waves slamming into and penetrating my body, the mids and highs giving short, sharp and hard karate-like punches to my eardrums.  I quickly began walking around on the floor of Club Metropolis with my fingers resting lightly in my ears, to mitigate the discomfort.

The atmosphere resembled a laid-back but devoted fundamentalist assembly, with a low-key hip shakin’ foot-wiggling head-back-and-forth sway to the beat(s) the de rigeur way of drifting through the crowd.  I really appreciated the vibe … gentle, respectful, intense, happy, there for the music, a grouping with a positive heartbeat.

Notwithstanding the loudness and my physical discomfort with that, I also REALLY enjoyed the adept creative stylings of the artists I watched and listened to.

I particularly grokked Kid Koala (go ahead and click, it’s a cool web site).  Here’s a YouTube clip for your enjoyment.

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Kid Koala - One of Montreal’s International DJ Vedetttes

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I just discovered, tangibly, something I have thought of before and had imagined might happen.

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Via the NY Times.

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Senate Race in Minnesota Shows Power of Bloggers

Monica Davey

[Snip ... ]

What Mr. Franken’s circumstance has proven, though, is that no Minnesota candidate this fall can afford to ignore Mr. Brodkorb, or the rest of the state’s universe of Web sites devoted to local politics. Experts here say the abundance of these blogs is a mirror onto this state, its partisan split in recent years and its long tradition of intense political activism (by some measures, voter turnout here was the highest in the nation in 2006). That said, they are anything but Minnesota Nice.

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A compelling article about China’s interpretation of capitalism, just published by Naomi Klein in this month’s Rolling Stone.

Thanks to Gifthub for pointing to it.

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China’s All-Seeing Eye
With the help of U.S. defense contractors, China is building the prototype for a high-tech police state. It is ready for export.

NAOMI KLEIN

Now, as China prepares to showcase its economic advances during the upcoming Olympics in Beijing, Shenzhen is once again serving as a laboratory, a testing ground for the next phase of this vast social experiment. Over the past two years, some 200,000 surveillance cameras have been installed throughout the city. Many are in public spaces, disguised as lampposts. The closed-circuit TV cameras will soon be connected to a single, nationwide network, an all-seeing system that will be capable of tracking and identifying anyone who comes within its range — a project driven in part by U.S. technology and investment. Over the next three years, Chinese security executives predict they will install as many as 2 million CCTVs in Shenzhen, which would make it the most watched city in the world. (Security-crazy London boasts only half a million surveillance cameras.)

The security cameras are just one part of a much broader high-tech surveillance and censorship program known in China as "Golden Shield." The end goal is to use the latest people-tracking technology — thoughtfully supplied by American giants like IBM, Honeywell and General Electric — to create an airtight consumer cocoon: a place where Visa cards, Adidas sneakers, China Mobile cellphones, McDonald’s Happy Meals, Tsingtao beer and UPS delivery (to name just a few of the official sponsors of the Beijing Olympics) can be enjoyed under the unblinking eye of the state, without the threat of democracy breaking out. With political unrest on the rise across China, the government hopes to use the surveillance shield to identify and counteract dissent before it explodes into a mass movement like the one that grabbed the world’s attention at Tiananmen Square.

Remember how we’ve always been told that free markets and free people go hand in hand? That was a lie. It turns out that the most efficient delivery system for capitalism is actually a communist-style police state, fortressed with American "homeland security" technologies, pumped up with "war on terror" rhetoric.

[ Snip ... ]

What is most disconcerting about China’s surveillance state is how familiar it all feels.

When I check into the Sheraton in Shenzhen, for instance, it looks like any other high-end hotel chain — only the lobby is a little more modern and the cheerful clerk doesn’t just check my passport but takes a scan of it.

"Are you making a copy?" I ask.

"No, no," he responds helpfully. "We’re just sending a copy to the police."

Up in my room, the Website that pops up on my laptop looks like every other Net portal at a hotel — only it won’t let me access human-rights and labor Websites that I know are working fine. The TV gets CNN International — only with strange edits and obviously censored blackouts. My cellphone picks up a strong signal for the China Mobile network. A few months earlier, in Davos, Switzerland, the CEO of China Mobile bragged to a crowd of communications executives that "we not only know who you are, we also know where you are." Asked about customer privacy, he replied that his company only gives "this kind of data to government authorities" — pretty much the same answer I got from the clerk at the front desk.

When I leave China, I feel a powerful relief: I have escaped. I am home safe. But the feeling starts to fade as soon as I get to the customs line at JFK, watching hundreds of visitors line up to have their pictures taken and fingers scanned. In the terminal, someone hands me a brochure for "Fly Clear." All I need to do is have my fingerprints and irises scanned, and I can get a Clear card with a biometric chip that will let me sail through security.

Later, I look it up: The company providing the technology is L-1.

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(Republished from March 2007)

It’s not news that there is resistance and confusion about why and how to implement enterprise 2.0 technology and capabilities in today’s organizations, notwithstanding the continuous flows of information and the growing prevalence of interconnected customers and knowledge workers.

There’s a lot of chatter about bottom-up versus top-down, the collective wisdom of the organizational crowd, and various related themes.

The first line of the article is "He calls it the new normal", "he" being Michael Geist, Canada’s answer to Larry Lessig..

Those of who who have been reading my blog for any length of time will know that I am not surprised.

Much of what passes for activism, around the world, is action of some sort or other against top-down driven policies and decisions and the purview of hierarchic institutions.

I don’t believe that it is necessary to tear down or explode all institutions, nor the way things are down generally in some areas of human activity, but I do believe that there needs to be much more two-way (or n-way) dialogue, and much more listening and comprehension on the part of those who occupy the positions at the top of systems and institutions.

Thus, the definition of wirearchya dynamic two-way flow of power and authority based on knowledge, trust, credibility and a focus on results, enabled by interconnected people and technology.

It might be the case that there would not need to be so much activism if we all lived and worked in a less manipulative, more open and fair society, rather than in societies where people are pitted against each other in order to ‘win".

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Geist lauds Net as activist tool
MATT HARTLEY

He calls it the new normal.

The Internet and the rise of Web 2.0 tools have created a new reality, one in which anyone can become an agent of change capable of affecting public opinion, Canada’s most prominent digital activist, Michael Geist, told a Toronto audience on Wednesday.

It’s a new reality that policy makers ignore at their own peril and one the Canadian government doesn’t quite understand how to respond to yet.

“Governments need to be receptive to this,” said Mr. Geist, who teaches e-commerce law at the University of Ottawa.

Mr. Geist’s keynote address to the 2008 mesh conference outlined the various ways that social media sites such as YouTube, Facebook, Twitter and Google Maps are increasingly being used to disseminate messages of advocacy across the globe at rapid speeds.

“The potential for digital advocacy to change our policy, our political discussions, our democracy, our education and our communications, to change so many different issues that matter … we have to recognize that it’s not about “hands off the Internet,” but recognize that those kinds of features are in our hands,” he said.

Social media and the Internet are the newest and most powerful weapons in the activists’ arsenal. Protesters in Europe now use Twitter to communicate in real time with fellow supporters, while sites such as Ushahidi.com utilize Google Maps and Google Earth to catalogue violent incidents in Kenya that the local governments don’t want recorded or shown to the rest of the world.

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Direct from the keyboard of one of Forrester’s high-profile social media analysts, Jeremiah Owyang.

For all of you out there that think that Forrester’s (or Gartner’s, or Jupiter’s, etc.) assessment of a given company’s prospects is objective ;-)

Via Twitter:

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Jeremiah jowyang: Some vendors are going to be very, very mad at me, the report will indicate who is a leader. Get as mad as you want, clients come first :) 13 minutes ago from web

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Sounds like the name of a movie, doesn’t it ?

I’ve convinced myself that it won’t seem so self congratulatory to post the remarks about my WebCom presentation I have tracked down since I believe very few of my very few readers will understand what is said below in the French language …

If it’s unseemly to have posted these very nice remarks, please feel free to help me find my rightful place again darned quickly .. the comments section is in the same place as always.

It’s also important for me to state here that I really enjoyed meeting and talking with the people cited below, as well as many other people during what was a very full day.

I find people in Montreal, and the culture in Montreal and Quebec, to be very open and dynamic, and I think a lot of people can learn a lot from these people in this city.

There were also quite a lot of practitioners and consultants from France (mainly Paris) and I think most North Americans have seriously misguided perspectives about the French … from what I have seen, people like Bertrand Duperrin, Fred Cavazza, Vincent Berthelot, Xavier Aucompte and others I have met in the past (like Michel Germain) have a deep understanding of what ’s going on and they are moving pretty fast and being very effective at spreading ideas and implementing effective initiatives.

And finally, a special shout-out … mes sincere felicitations ! … to the first commenter cited below.  The last time I talked to Michelle she was Michel Blanc.  I enjoyed meeting him a couple of years ago at WebCom 2006 and had looked forward to meeting him again, but it must be said that in my experience she is easier to talk to and evidently more comfortable in her skin now that Michael has become Michelle.

And I will send some positive thought rays Michelle’s way in a few months as she moves ahead with facial feminization surgery.

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Michelle Blanc

J’ai manqué le début de la présentation de Jon parce que j’aime discuter avec des collègues dans le couloir. Mais lorsque je suis entrée dans la salle, j’ai été estomaquée par la fougue, la passion et l’à-propos de Jon. Je me suis dit que s’il y avait une présentation pour laquelle j’aurais dû être assise depuis le début, c’était bien celle-là. Il y avait tellement de contenus pertinents que je n’ai retenu que quelques punchs particulièrement bon dont :   "management by blogging around"

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Bertrand Duperrin

… puis vint ce qui fut pour moi le clou de la conférence : l’intervention de Jon Husband, assurément pour moi la plus intéressante de la journée tant sur le fond que sur la forme. Plutôt que vous la raconter, ce qui serait fort difficile en raison de sa densité, je préfère vous conseiller de vous intéresser à son blog, de rentrer en profondeur dans la notion de wirearchy, et jeter un oeil à cette présentation qu’il a pris à titre d’exemple.

J’apprécie beaucoup la lucidité de Jon sur le lien organisation / outil et le fait que le halo de l’effet web 2.0 ne l’empêche pas de rester concentré sur l’essentiel : les outils sont au service d’un mode d’organisation et l’entreprise n’est pas le web. Si quelqu’un a mis la main sur sa diapo où il met en parallèle management 2.0, Rh 2.0 et culture 2.0 je suis également acheteur !

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Vallier Lapierre

Je vais conclure avec l’intervention de Jon Husband qui est venu me chercher avec son concept de «wirearchy» qu’il oppose à celui de hiérarchie. Associant le terme à « une dynamique bi-directionnelle de pouvoir et d’autorité basée sur le savoir, la confiance, la crédibilité et la préoccupation de résultats », il jubile à l’idée que les technologies Web 2.0 et les jeunes rendent son utilisation incontournable parce qu’elle est définitiivement la mieux adaptée à notre mode de vie actuel.

Ses schémas (trop touffus pour être joués ici clairement) démontrant la dépendance des approches entreprise 2.0, gestion 2.0 et relations humaines 2.0 de leur relation directe avec la culture 2.0 émergente, sont d’une limpidité « crystal clear ». Je vous incite fortement à retourner sur le site de la conférence dans environ deux semaines lorsque les présentations y seront accessibles. Vous verrez qu’il n’oublie pas beaucup d’éléments.

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Michael Boyle

Later on I sat in on Jon Husband’s talk about the new work environment ushered in with Web 2.0. Jon is a very experienced management consultant who several years ago decided that the existing models or approaches were broken and set out in search of alternatives. Jon told a funny story about early in his career when a (more senior) colleague complained about his reading the newspaper “on company time”. At a certain point in our history, general knowledge of the environment was not seen as a competitive advantage, let alone a food-water-shelter kind of necessity. Now, however, both general and specific knowledge of the environment in which a company works has become absolutely essential. Companies seem to be struggling to confront this reality.

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Fred Cavazza

Génial, des réflexions pleines de bon sens sur l’évolution des organisations et la répartition des pouvoirs au sein de l’entreprise.

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UPDATE:  One more encouraging commentary from conference organizer Claude Malaison. Claude, merci pour les mots encourageant.

Pour moi, la surprise de la journée aura été la performance de l’ami Jon Husband.

TOUS les commentaires sont unanimes : Jon a donné une conférence pleine de substance et l’a livrée avec passion et conviction. Il a parlé d’entreprise 2.0, certes mais l’a fractionnée en management 2.0, en RH 2.0 et en Culture 2.0. Il a aussi parlé des Digital Natives et de leur impact sur la structure organisationnelle, cette structure qu’il qualifie de Wirearchy en opposition à la «Hierarchy» traditionnelle. Un grand bravo donc.

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The excerpt from Naomi Klein’s op-ed in the Guardian (UK) below demonstrates the old maxim "knowledge is power" in action.

Would the spreading of information and knowledge to which this snippet refers be possible with the Internet and easy inexpensive personal publishing ?

D’Oh !

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Thus the traditional organization, where a few top managers coordinate the pyramid below them, is being upended.

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So sayeth a Senior Managing Consultant, IBM …. presenting on social networks at WebCom Montreal 2008.

The morning started early … up at 6h00 am, first conference session at 7h30 am.

I’m speaking later today at WebCom 2008 in Montreal, holding forth on wirearchy and the cultural indicators and change issues that may be part of the whole transition to using Enterprise 2.0 principles and tools.

A team from Secor (the Quebec strategy consulting firm, a francophone equivalent to McKinsey), opened the conference with an extremely boring presentation on their Internet Index research.

At the moment Andrew McAfee of Harvard and of "he-coined-the-term-Enterprise-2.0" fame is offering the opening keynote:

… but I’m here in Canada, so it WAS a sloow glance.

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From first to worst

It doesn’t take long to go from being a leader to a laggard. That’s what has happened with Canada’s forays into high-speed broadband – the communications network that drives the Internet.

At the start of this decade, Canada was a leader in the Internet Age. Maintaining this momentum, in 2001 the National Broadband Task Force issued a challenging report, setting as a national goal the linking of all communities across Canada by 2004 through high-speed broadband of 1.5 million bits of information every second.

But too little was done to achieve this goal, and today Canada has the dubious distinction of having one of the slowest and most expensive broadband networks among advanced economies. Not only that, there is little political interest in raising Canada’s status as a high-speed information society and little understanding of why this is so damaging to Canada’s future prospects.

Canada’s broadband prices are higher than 20 other countries in the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). In fact, Canadian prices are nearly 30 times as high as those in Japan, 12 times as high as in France, 11 times as high as in Sweden and just over 10 times as high as in Korea. Canada also has one of the slowest average advertised broadband speeds, ranking 15th in the OECD. Compared with Canada, Japan’s downloading speeds are nearly 12 times as fast, France’s and Korea’s nearly six times as fast and Sweden’s three times as fast.

Why does this matter?

As Robert Atkinson of the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation in Washington points out, the universal provision of high-speed broadband will deliver a wide range of benefits that is, in many ways, similar to those delivered by the universal provision of electricity and the telephone in earlier generations.

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Taylorism changed a lot about the nature of work in North American and western Europe pretty quickly, all things told … but it still took thirty or forty years to emerge into its relatively full-blown effects.  At its heyday, the manufacturing might and effectiveness of the United States that Taylorism helped create enabled it (along with important agricultural and resources capabilities and growing financial clout) to become the world power economically over several decades at most. 

In an important sense, it was useful to his theories that 1) they helped respond to the massive spread of the Industrial Era’s requirements for growth in the first half of the 20th century, and 2) World Wars I and II came along in the late 1910’s and in the late 1930’s to provide a massive need for manufacturing.

30+ years elapsed from the publication of Principles of Scientific Management in 1911 to the codification of those principles into work design methodologies in the 1940’s and early 1950’s.  He and his theories get a bad rap today, but it seems clear that they were highly useful to the process of creating wealth by improving manufacturing processes and capabilities.

It seems banal to say that those theories are less effective today, but I am not sure that’s the case.  There have been no comprehensive theories and principles come along (yet) to replace them, notwithstanding a plethora of management books published since the mid-1980’s promising enhance organizational effectiveness … more often than not by combining Taylorist principles with developmental workarounds and adaptations.

The recent emergence of the field called Enterprise 2.0, and clarion calls for management innovation that have followed (see Gary Hamel, Andrew McAfee, Tom Davenport, Don Tapscott, Dave Snowden and many, many others) promises much potential disruption.  It also portends significant struggle as the forces of buttoned-and-battened-down efficiency derived from a manufacturing-focused era vie with the forces arising from networked flows of information in an era where economic value is derived from the construction and application of knowledge to product and service design and delivery (manufacturing happens in China now).

Via Wikipedia:

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Taylor published his Principles of Scientific Management in 1911, which elucidated four core principles:

1. Replace rule-of-thumb work methods with methods based on a scientific study of the tasks.

2. Scientifically select, train, and develop each employee rather than passively leaving them to train themselves.

3. Provide "Detailed instruction and supervision of each worker in the performance of that worker’s discrete task".

4. Divide work nearly equally between managers and workers, so that the managers apply scientific management principles to planning the work and the workers actually perform the tasks


Management theory

Taylor thought that by analysing work, the "One Best Way" to do it would be found. He is most remembered for developing the time and motion study. He would break a job into its component parts and measure each to the hundredth of a minute.

[ Snip ... ]

He was generally unsuccessful in getting his concepts applied and was dismissed from Bethlehem Steel. It was largely through the efforts of his disciples (most notably H.L. Gantt) that industry came to implement his ideas.

Managers and workers

Taylor had very precise ideas about how to introduce his system:

"It is only through enforced standardization of methods, enforced adoption of the best implements and working conditions, and enforced cooperation that this faster work can be assured. And the duty of enforcing the adoption of standards and enforcing this cooperation rests with management alone." (Taylor, Principles of Scientific Management, cited by Montgomery 1989:229, italics with Taylor)

Workers were supposed to be incapable of understanding what they were doing. According to Taylor this was true even for rather simple tasks.

"’I can say, without the slightest hesitation,’ Taylor told a congressional committee, ‘that the science of handling pig-iron is so great that the man who is … physically able to handle pig-iron and is sufficiently phlegmatic and stupid to choose this for his occupation is rarely able to comprehend

[The scope of] Taylor’s Influence - United States

  • Carl Barth helped Taylor to develop speed-and-feed-calculating slide rules to a previously unknown level of usefulness. Similar aids are still used in machine shops today. Barth became an early consultant on scientific management and later taught at Harvard.
  • H. L. Gantt developed the Gantt chart, a visual aid for scheduling tasks and displaying the flow of work.
  • Harrington Emerson introduced scientific management to the railroad industry, and proposed the dichotomy of staff versus line employees, with the former advising the latter.
  • Morris Cooke adapted scientific management to educational and municipal organizations.
  • Hugo Münsterberg created industrial psychology.
  • Lillian Gilbreth introduced psychology to management studies.
  • Frank Gilbreth (husband of Lillian) discovered scientific management while working in the construction industry, eventually developing motion studies independently of Taylor. These logically complemented Taylor’s time studies, as time and motion are two sides of the efficiency improvement coin. The two fields eventually became time and motion study.
  • Harvard University, one of the first American universities to offer a graduate degree in business management in 1908, based its first-year curriculum on Taylor’s scientific management.
  • Harlow S. Person, as dean of Dartmouth’s Amos Tuck School of Administration and Finance, promoted the teaching of scientific management.
  • James O. McKinsey, professor of accounting at the University of Chicago and founder of the consulting firm bearing his name, advocated budgets as a means of assuring accountability and of measuring performance.

I’ve long appreciated the aphorism that is the title of this post, and I think of it regularly when surfing and reading the latest insight from the many pundits and critics of the Web.  And today I am thinking about "the future of work".

It’s my assertion that the changes social computing will bring to knowledge work and knowledge-based workplaces may be even greater than the generally immature experiments that have taken hold today as early adopters play with tools that allow them to connect, create, converse, convulse, coopt, and carry on about all manner of things … including work issues, challenges and opportunities.

David Weinberger is a well-known expert on knowledge management and the hyperlinked web / organization.  He has from time to time written about how the digital infrastructure and the dynamics it fosters "cuts the slack out of interactions" (The Need For Leeway, October 2002) .  We need "slack" to reflect, to think, to imagine, to support the filling in and filling up of the connections we have made between people, information, task and problems.  And we need analysis and measurement, specialized skills, budgets, accountability and best practices to optimize work and eliminate what is clearly unnecessary, not useful and / or wasteful.

But efficiency is not and will not be the hallmark of human interaction, and human sociology in the modern workplace cannot forever take its architectural design principles from Taylorism. 

As we watch Enterprise 2.0 emerge, I watch what seem to be regular waves of dots (widgets, applications, platforms, services and people in equal measure) joining together, using the Web, to meld efficiency and slack … the "both / and" so often cited as characteristic of this new environment.  A flow of questions, responses and pertinent information soldered together to provide a design, or a service, is not the same as carrying out efficient repeatable supervisable step-by-step tasks the result of which are combined with other sets of efficient repeatable supervisable step-by-step tasks to produce repeatable products or services (You can have any Model T you want, as long as it is black).

There’s an enormous amount of resistance, both intellectual and cultural, to acknowledging that maybe work cannot be designed and structured based on the principles that have been in place for more than three-quarters of a century now.  A lot of that has to do with what "management" still means to us (especially the incumbents of managerial roles).  It’s hard to give up power and control, especially when you are charged with making stuff happen and the budgets and performance management and compensation bonus schemes reinforce that charge. So, while it appears that the Internet, and thus the difficult-if-not-impossible-to-control flows of information, are here to stay, it also seems that about every 6 months or so there’s another wave of "this newfangled hyperlink stuff, personal publishing, connecting social-this-and-that is now officially over and it hasn’t yet changed the world".

Generally, I agree but with reservations.  Those reservations are that "we tend to overestimate the impacts in the short term because we overlook all the details of how things are done and the tenacious stickiness of peoples’ habits, and tend to underestimate the impacts in the longer term because we overlook or ignore the scope and depth of accumulated change" (not verbatim).

Today I found this snippet from Clay Shirky’s now-well-known Web 2.0 Expo keynote.

In my opinion he puts none too fine a point on the fact that the Internet seems to be with us to stay, and that it’s impacts will continue to accumulate.  Tomorrow’s workers won’t understand meetings, collaboration, supervision or accountability in the same way we do … all because of gin and that damned mouse.

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Gin, Television, and Social Surplus

a British historian arguing that the critical technology, for the early phase of the industrial revolution, was gin.

The transformation from rural to urban life was so sudden, and so wrenching, that the only thing society could do to manage was to drink itself into a stupor for a generation. The stories from that era are amazing– there were gin pushcarts working their way through the streets of London.

And it wasn’t until society woke up from that collective bender that we actually started to get the institutional structures that we associate with the industrial revolution today. Things like public libraries and museums, increasingly broad education for children, elected leaders–a lot of things we like–didn’t happen until having all of those people together stopped seeming like a crisis and started seeming like an asset.

It wasn’t until people started thinking of this as a vast civic surplus, one they could design for rather than just dissipate, that we started to get what we think of now as an industrial society.

If I had to pick the critical technology for the 20th century, the bit of social lubricant without which the wheels would’ve come off the whole enterprise, I’d say it was the sitcom.

[ Snip ... ] 

I was having dinner with a group of friends about a month ago, and one of them was talking about sitting with his four-year-old daughter watching a DVD. And in the middle of the movie, apropos nothing, she jumps up off the couch and runs around behind the screen. That seems like a cute moment.

Maybe she’s going back there to see if Dora is really back there or whatever. But that wasn’t what she was doing. She started rooting around in the cables. And her dad said, “What you doing?”

And she stuck her head out from behind the screen and said, “Looking for the mouse.”

Here’s something four-year-olds know: A screen that ships without a mouse ships broken. Here’s something four-year-olds know: Media that’s targeted at you but doesn’t include you may not be worth sitting still for.

Those are things that make me believe that this is a one-way change.

Because four year olds, the people who are soaking most deeply in the current environment, who won’t have to go through the trauma that I have to go through of trying to unlearn a childhood spent watching Gilligan’s Island, they just assume that media includes consuming, producing and sharing.

[ Snip ... }

I think that’s going to be a big deal. Don’t you?

Well, the TV producer did not think this was going to be a big deal; she was not digging this line of thought. And her final question to me was essentially, "Isn’t this all just a fad?" You know, sort of the flagpole-sitting of the early early 21st century? It’s fun to go out and produce and share a little bit, but then people are going to eventually realize, "This isn’t as good as doing what I was doing before," and settle down.

And I made a spirited argument that no, this wasn’t the case, that this was in fact a big one-time shift, more analogous to the industrial revolution than to flagpole-sitting.

I was arguing that this isn’t the sort of thing society grows out of. It’s the sort of thing that society grows into.

But I’m not sure she believed me, in part because she didn’t want to believe me, but also in part because I didn’t have the right story yet. And now I do.

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Well, not really .. but he does lend his profile to the reading of an alternative perspective on the development of America’s position in the world.

Via Listics and GiftHub:

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Viggo Reads Howard Zinn on American Empire

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I’ve long appreciated that aphorism, and I think of it regularly when surfing and reading the latest insight from the many pundits and critics of the Web.

Today I went from Euan’s Twitter archive to Jackie Danicki’s (Updates protected), curious to see what she might have said to prompt an Euan tweet, and so to Jackie’s blog .. where I found this snippet from Clay Shirky’s now-well-known Web 2.0 Expo keynote.

I watch what seem to be regular waves of dots (widgets, services and people in equal measure) joining to create on the Web more usefulness and more inanity, also in equal measures.  It seems that about every 6 months or so there’s another wave of "this newfangled hyperlink stuff, personal publishing, connecting social-this-and-that is now officially over and it hasn’t yet changed the world".

Generally, I agree but with reservations, those being that "we tend to overestimate the impacts in the short term because we overlook all the details of how things are done and the tenacious stickiness of peoples’ habits, and tend to underestimate the impacts in the longer term because we overlook or ignore the scope and depth of accumulated change" (not verbatim).

At any rate, this quote of Shirky’s puts none too fine a point on the fact that the Internet seems to be with us to stay, and that it’s impacts will continue to accumulate.

UPDATE:  apropos to long time and quick changes, I added a bit more of Shirky’s address below after the [ Snip ... ]

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I was having dinner with a group of friends about a month ago, and one of them was talking about sitting with his four-year-old daughter watching a DVD. And in the middle of the movie, apropos nothing, she jumps up off the couch and runs around behind the screen. That seems like a cute moment.

Maybe she’s going back there to see if Dora is really back there or whatever. But that wasn’t what she was doing. She started rooting around in the cables. And her dad said, “What you doing?”

And she stuck her head out from behind the screen and said, “Looking for the mouse.”

Here’s something four-year-olds know: A screen that ships without a mouse ships broken. Here’s something four-year-olds know: Media that’s targeted at you but doesn’t include you may not be worth sitting still for.

Those are things that make me believe that this is a one-way change.

Because four year olds, the people who are soaking most deeply in the current environment, who won’t have to go through the trauma that I have to go through of trying to unlearn a childhood spent watching Gilligan’s Island, they just assume that media includes consuming, producing and sharing.

[ Snip ... }

I think that’s going to be a big deal. Don’t you?

Well, the TV producer did not think this was going to be a big deal; she was not digging this line of thought. And her final question to me was essentially, "Isn’t this all just a fad?" You know, sort of the flagpole-sitting of the early early 21st century? It’s fun to go out and produce and share a little bit, but then people are going to eventually realize, "This isn’t as good as doing what I was doing before," and settle down.

And I made a spirited argument that no, this wasn’t the case, that this was in fact a big one-time shift, more analogous to the industrial revolution than to flagpole-sitting.

I was arguing that this isn’t the sort of thing society grows out of. It’s the sort of thing that society grows into.

But I’m not sure she believed me, in part because she didn’t want to believe me, but also in part because I didn’t have the right story yet. And now I do.

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Random findage on a Saturday morning.

I’m not particularly adept technical-wise, but I read a lot … and one of my areas of interest and speculation for the last two or three years has been my relatively uninformed belief that one day we will see television screens made out of somewhat thick clear plastic that you can roll up like a yoga mat and carry with you (probably with a wireless connection in its inner works).

So, here’s a piece from the NY Times today swooning and drooling about the Sony X-11 OLED television screen.

I recently saw one of these in the Sony Store showroom near where I live, and the article is correct.  Yes, it is astonishing, astounding, amazing, incredible

Anyway … what caught my attention in this article is the fact that roll-up versions are in the Sony labs.

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TV Images To Dazzle The Jaded

 you’re a TV-technology geek and you’re getting a distinct feeling of déjà vu, congratulations. All of this does sound exactly like the descriptions of S.E.D. television prototypes demonstrated years ago by Toshiba and Canon. Unfortunately, that equally impressive picture technology never made it out of the lab.)

To make this thing even more drool-worthy, the XEL-1’s screen is only three millimeters thick — shirt-cardboard thick. If they could build a laptop with a screen this thin, it would make the MacBook Air look like a suitcase.

The reason: in an O.L.E.D. screen, each pixel generates its own light; there’s no need for bulky backlights, as there are in, for example, L.C.D. sets.

(In the labs, they have O.L.E.D. screens so thin you can roll them up.)

Finally, O.L.E.D. uses less electricity than either plasma or L.C.D.

So, if this thing is so amazing, why isn’t everyone stampeding to get one?

Because even though the XEL-1 is the biggest O.L.E.D. television you can buy today, it’s only an 11-inch screen. That’s not a typo; it’s smaller than your laptop screen.

Oh, and it costs $2,500.

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… and, I’ve heard it said, makes hair grow on the palms of your hands.

Seriously …